JACC Vol. 51, No. 21, 2008 Epstein et al. e33 May 27, 2008:e1–62
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Risk factors for SCD in patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy have been derived from multiple observational studies and registries. A consensus document on HCM from the ACC and the European Society of Cardiology categorized known risk factors for SCD as “major” and “possible” in individual patients.

The major risk factors include:

  1. Prior cardiac arrest
  2. Spontaneous sustained VT
  3. Spontaneous nonsustained VT
  4. Family history of SCD
  5. Syncope
  6. LV thickness greater than or equal to 30 mm
  7. An abnormal blood pressure response to exercise.

This consensus document also noted possible risk factors, which include:

  1. AF
  2. Myocardial ischemia
  3. LV outflow obstruction
  4. High-risk mutations
  5. Intense (competitive) physical exertion.
     
The severity of other symptoms, such as dyspnea, chest pain, and effort intolerance, has not been correlated with increased risk of SCD. A flat or hypotensive response to upright or supine exercise testing in patients younger than 40 years old has been shown to be a risk factor for SCD, although the positive predictive value of this finding is low. A normal blood pressure response identifies a low-risk group. The presence of nonsustained VT on Holter monitoring has been associated with a higher risk of SCD, although the positive predictive accuracy is relatively low. Recent analyses indicate that in a high-risk HCM cohort, ICD interventions were frequent and were highly effective in restoring normal sinus rhythm. However, an important proportion of ICD discharges occur in primary prevention patients who undergo implantation of the ICD for a single risk factor. Therefore, a single risk marker of high risk for sudden cardiac arrest may be sufficient to justify consideration for prophylactic ICD implantation in selected patients.